23 November 2006

What to make of Bush?

I have mixed feelings about Bush. He is not the clown or doofus that he sometimes appears to be, and certainly not the fiction his enemies picture him as. He is, however, a seriously flawed individual, but then, so was Churchill. The millionaire son of a millionaire's son, a dry drunk, probably a drug user, certainly a shirker in his first war. Except for the millionaire part, hardly unheard of in his generation. Yet he pulled himself together and up from the depths with the help of a good woman and the direct intervention of his Lord Jesus Christ. Or so he firmly believes and I am not the man to deny it. For him this gives his life meaning and dignity no matter what.

He is not stupid by any means – but he is intellectually incurious and detached, sometimes to a puzzling, even frightening, degree. Yet the faith and fundamental goodness is real. It simply stops at the edge of the world he knows and probes no further. I meet and get to like at least a dozen students every year who share these traits.

His instincts on the illegal immigration problem are fundamentally correct, I believe, from a moral, political, and practical viewpoint, though perhaps not from a strict interpretation of Legalism. On this one issue, when compared to the short sighted and parochial proposals of some of his fellow Republicans, which sometimes stop just this side of race baiting (and sometimes don't stop), seem positively statesmanlike.

One thing his opponents should always keep in mind: he was right to invade Afghanistan. It was ruled by a government that clearly aided and abetted the terrorists who perpetrated 9/11. The efforts of those opposed to that war, to insist that there was no sure connection, to call for diplomatic moves in the face of a clear act of war, and worst of all, to portray the Taliban as all but invincible in their mountains, did nothing but make Bush's achievement loom larger, to take on the aura of preternatural wisdom and character that it should not have had. The Left, and the pacifists, and the others should never forget this. Their opposition to what even the Pope saw as a ‘Just War' was a major factor in his growing popularity among Americans matched by a growing contempt to those calling for peace and negotiations on all fronts. If Bush had stopped after Afghanistan, we would be dealing with a different presidency and, I honestly believe, a different America.

But, of course, he didn't stop there. We didn't stop there. There is something else that his opponents never learned and his erstwhile supporters and collaborators are busy forgetting. When he went into Iraq he had the American people behind him and, until in an act of pride both pardonable and understandable boasted that the Mission was accomplished, he and the neocons were right. The destruction of the Baath regime was a miracle of speed and skill. The first great Iraqi vote was simple: we will not fight and die for this regime. The Iraqi army walked away. And our troops were cheered and greeted with flowers. For a brief while it looked as if once again Bush was right, the naysayers wrong.

But, of course, it did not remain that way. Now the war's dwindling supporters are reduced to blaming it on Bush and his White House, or on Rumsfield, or Rice, or someone else. The execution of the war was all wrong. Or most maddingly of all, snarling that no one could have done any better, Iraq was simply too big a problem in the first place, so don't blame us for its failure. Which, if you didn't notice, concedes the whole argument to those who opposed the war in the first place.

I am not an historian of the modern world and even in my own field I can make foolish mistakes. Yet I have read a lot of history of every sort from the time I learned to read until now. I have even written my own small contributions to the stream of western historical thought. I am certain of this: the Bush administration is going to go down in history as one of the worst in American history.

So what do we do now?

2 Comments:

At 23 November, 2006 21:23, Blogger kipwatson said...

The real questions history must answer (because it is history that will decide; although many desire or imagine defeat the battle isn't over yet), are as follows:

1) Whatever the outcome, history will commend Bush as a great leader for his simple insight regarding the Axis of Evil - that the strength behind the terrorists are the great modern tyrannies.

2) Did Bush correctly calculate his political reserves? The military might he has available is not in question, but was he correct in determining he had the reserves for one (only) decisive campaign after Afghanistan? Could he have gone further and expanded the fight to include Iran and Syria, or was even Iraq a Bridge Too Far?

3) The strategic importance of Iraq is unquestionable. For a range of geographic, political and societal reason, success there can transform the Middle East. Certainly the tyrants and terrorists are terrified by the thought of losing there. But how well did Bush calculate the temperment of the Iraqis; their desire for nationhood, peace, democracy, justice and so on; and their willingness to work with the US after they had been betrayed so monstrously by his father. Despite the relentless focus on terrorist acts, there is a great deal of generally unreported evidence that Bush was right.

The so-called mistakes of Iraq, were in part mistakes made long ago -- both of unpreparedness and tragically horrible political blunders like the betrayal of of the Iraqis in 1991 -- and some conditions that are not mistakes at all, but just weaknesses that can't be ameliorated, and must simply be compensated for.

For example, we live in a society with a sizeable minority who want to see our way of life overthrown. And will work to assist our enemies in the belief that any defeat will aid them in that. I'm not talking about Muslims (who I actually see as potential allies, or at worst enemy proxies), but of course the legions of unreconstructed socialists who still itch to grind us with their boot heels, and will harm us in any way they can if they think it will bring forward that glorious day.

But all this still hangs in the balance. WWII wasn't over when the 'Glorious 9th' were cut off and trapped in Tobruk (an Australian reference for you).

And the biggest question, that, regardless of the immediate outcome in Iraq, history will answer emphatically 'yes!', is whether the fight against terrorism is a fight worth undertaking. In order to have peace and victory, this generation must answer that question for themselves.

 
At 24 November, 2006 21:25, Blogger Clemens said...

History decides nothing, I am afraid. When I say something about going down in history I mean the collective judgement of a lot of people - a type of public opinion. I think we can say that most Americans regard Abe Lincoln as our greatest prez, but there are still plenty who think otherwise - my brother the Confederate Nut for one. So all I can do is guess at how that 'pulic opinion' of informed sources will go in the future.

As for Bush's simple insight into the Axis of Evil, it was a bit too simple - as in simplistic. At the moment we have serious problems with both Korea and Iran that have festered ever since Bush made that speech. As far as I can tell we have done nothing effective in either case and in fact have very few options (though as for North Korea, I am willing to let the Australians step up to the plate - it seems to be in your neighborhood).

I do not fully understand your point 2). Although I am not persuaged that Iraq needed to be a bridge too far, it sure as hell was the way we carried it out. And it was, unlike Afghanistan (IMO) a war of choice. It is striking that some of the very people here in govt and the media and partisan think tanks who supported the war now seem to be saying that they can't be blamed for incompetence since it was a Mission Impossible to start off with. I have to admit, this one really puzzles me.

I don't think I agree with your analysis in point 3), so I probably should post on it. To the extent that it is correct, the failure to back up the initial victory in Iraq (which actually DID do what the Bushies said it would, btw) with adequate resources and planning simply looks worse.

I take your point about WWII, however, at some point after a much shorter time than 3 1/2 yrs there was some good evidence the tide was turning. Few here in the US see any indication ofthat now, and we can't simply blame it on internal anit-Americanism or left leaning media pundits.

If you want an Australian reference, I would offer Gallipoli -8 months of wasted valor and blood. After the first month they simply kept going to prove it wasn't a waste and that Churchill was right. It took a personal trip by Kitchener to decide to pull the plug on the whole fiasco. We have no Lord Kitcheners in America.

Judging by several documentaries I've seen (and the Mel Gibson movie back when he was still an Australian) you all still haven't forgotten or forgiven how your young men were simply wasted.

But the Americans aren't going anywhere for the moment. Stay tuned.

(I have other reasons actually for thinking 'historical opinion' will not be kind to the Bush years but I'll save it for another post)

By the by, can you give us an idea of Australian opinion about this?

 

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